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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+3.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+5.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+4.86vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+3.16vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-1.58vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.32+5.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99-0.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-2.61vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.17-0.44vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.66-2.18vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.89-3.61vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-6.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy2.05-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island2.7812.6%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University2.425.8%1st Place
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8.86Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College1.954.9%1st Place
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4.42Harvard University3.0518.1%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University1.321.6%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.996.3%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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7.39Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University1.172.1%1st Place
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9.82Washington College1.663.4%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University1.892.9%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College2.036.1%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Military Academy2.056.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 18.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 43.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| James Paul | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.