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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+2.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.35-0.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73-0.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.72-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.31Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.24University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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5.52Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.02Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 21.8% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.7% |
| Drew Shea | 21.4% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Henry O'Brien | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Ian White | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 5.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 18.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.