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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+2.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.35+1.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+0.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73+0.56vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.45-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51-2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.72-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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3.31Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.56Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 23.2% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 19.9% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Ian White | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 5.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 25.7% | 17.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 4.9% |
| Henry O'Brien | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 4.8% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.