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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+6.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+4.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+0.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.32+7.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-0.64vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.66+2.78vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.40+0.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.99-1.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-0.87vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-2.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy2.05-4.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-5.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-3.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.3%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University2.424.9%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.036.1%1st Place
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4.43Harvard University3.0517.7%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.7312.0%1st Place
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9.78Washington College1.664.0%1st Place
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8.72Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.995.8%1st Place
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9.13Fordham University1.894.5%1st Place
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8.06Connecticut College1.955.6%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Military Academy2.056.7%1st Place
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7.6Boston University1.796.0%1st Place
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10.69Northeastern University1.173.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island2.7812.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 43.9% |
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| James Paul | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.