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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.51+3.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.35+1.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+0.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62-0.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-2.75vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.72-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.32Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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5.61Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Drew Shea | 21.3% | 20.3% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Ian White | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 12.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 22.2% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 19.8% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 18.1% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.