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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+7.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+2.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+4.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+2.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-0.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-2.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-1.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.99-2.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-2.84vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+0.46vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.66-3.17vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-3.54vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Roger Williams University2.425.2%1st Place
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4.37Harvard University3.0517.5%1st Place
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7.57Boston University1.797.2%1st Place
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8.61Brown University2.404.9%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Military Academy2.056.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island2.7811.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.036.2%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College1.955.5%1st Place
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12.46Salve Regina University1.321.3%1st Place
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9.83Washington College1.663.2%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
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9.29Fordham University1.893.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| James Paul | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Walter Henry | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 45.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.