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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+2.17vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+3.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+1.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.620.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.51-0.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.35-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.72-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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5.62Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.0Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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3.27Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 23.1% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 24.3% | 20.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 12.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 3.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| Henry O'Brien | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 4.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 20.7% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Ian White | 11.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 6.4% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.