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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+4.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+3.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+4.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+2.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+1.81vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.54vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.37+0.15vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39-1.67vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.83-0.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.24-2.53vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.82-5.23vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.69-2.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Dartmouth College2.3812.7%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University2.4511.8%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University2.126.8%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island2.104.3%1st Place
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4.56Yale University2.9216.8%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.154.9%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.3%1st Place
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6.46Bowdoin College2.069.0%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College1.374.2%1st Place
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8.33Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University0.832.8%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University1.244.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University1.825.5%1st Place
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11.01Washington College0.692.5%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.625.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| William Bedford | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 19.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Alex Heim | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 26.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.