Race 1A

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marek Zaleski 43.4% 27.1% 16.3% 9.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 15.0% 17.4% 19.9% 15.6% 12.2% 10.0% 5.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Bennett Capozzi 15.2% 19.4% 20.2% 16.3% 12.0% 9.7% 4.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Cali Warner 5.1% 6.6% 8.3% 10.3% 14.9% 14.4% 14.0% 12.4% 8.0% 5.4% 0.6%
Simon Bertocci 6.4% 9.0% 11.3% 12.7% 14.5% 12.8% 11.4% 10.7% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Tyler Durant 2.9% 5.2% 5.9% 8.1% 12.0% 9.3% 14.8% 14.8% 12.7% 10.1% 4.2%
Anoush Longerstaey 4.1% 4.4% 4.8% 7.9% 10.3% 11.6% 14.6% 13.9% 15.5% 8.8% 4.1%
Lukas Scott 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 4.3% 4.6% 8.3% 11.4% 12.5% 16.2% 21.3% 14.8%
Jackson Chabot 4.3% 6.3% 7.0% 9.8% 10.9% 14.5% 11.8% 13.6% 11.9% 6.3% 3.6%
Shane Baker 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 4.2% 4.4% 8.0% 9.8% 15.1% 24.2% 25.6%
Julian Macrone 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 11.3% 20.9% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.