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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+1.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+1.73vs Predicted
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4Bentley University0.92+2.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.52+0.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.12+0.10vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.79-0.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-2.59vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18-0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.16-1.85vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.72-1.49vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.49-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Harvard University3.430.4%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.71Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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5.45Boston University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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6.88McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University0.160.0%1st Place
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9.51Middlebury College-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.34Harvard University2.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 42.2% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 13.2% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Simon Bertocci | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Chabot | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Anoush Longerstaey | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| Cali Warner | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Shane Baker | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 24.3% |
| Lukas Scott | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 22.3% | 15.0% |
| Julian Macrone | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 49.1% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 17.7% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.