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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+7.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+6.84vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+4.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+3.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.82+0.47vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.37+1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39-0.53vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83+0.63vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-5.34vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-6.50vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.69-2.01vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-5.81vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.24-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.2%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island2.104.3%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.127.0%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.9217.2%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.154.3%1st Place
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6.37Bowdoin College2.069.2%1st Place
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7.47Brown University1.826.3%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College1.374.3%1st Place
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8.47Boston University1.394.7%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
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5.5Roger Williams University2.4512.0%1st Place
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10.99Washington College0.692.8%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University1.625.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University1.243.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| William Bedford | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 19.6% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Heim | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 24.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.