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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+6.89vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.71+7.40vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+3.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University-0.25+7.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.99+1.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99-0.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+0.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-3.95vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.05+0.46vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.44vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-6.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-7.45vs Predicted
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15Boston College-0.06-4.02vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.29-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89George Washington University0.936.7%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University0.714.5%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston1.269.4%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University-0.253.4%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.2%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida0.996.7%1st Place
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5.17Yale University1.5713.8%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island0.997.8%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.8%1st Place
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6.05Boston University1.1410.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont-0.052.2%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.8%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University1.229.2%1st Place
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10.98Boston College-0.062.5%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College-0.292.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Greta Traver | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 20.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Emma Wang | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.