Race 3A

harvard-invitational-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bennett Capozzi 14.9% 20.8% 18.8% 17.1% 13.7% 8.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Marek Zaleski 43.6% 26.9% 16.2% 8.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cali Warner 5.6% 6.5% 9.1% 10.4% 13.4% 15.0% 13.0% 13.0% 9.1% 3.9% 1.0%
Jackson Chabot 3.4% 5.1% 6.8% 10.5% 9.9% 13.8% 15.2% 14.0% 11.0% 7.7% 2.6%
Tyler Durant 3.7% 5.3% 6.9% 7.1% 10.9% 12.1% 12.2% 15.8% 13.1% 9.9% 3.0%
Cameron Barclift 14.4% 17.0% 18.9% 16.8% 12.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Anoush Longerstaey 4.0% 4.7% 6.1% 6.1% 10.9% 12.8% 12.1% 14.5% 15.0% 9.3% 4.5%
Simon Bertocci 6.8% 8.3% 11.4% 13.5% 14.5% 14.7% 12.5% 8.9% 6.2% 2.6% 0.6%
Shane Baker 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 8.1% 10.0% 15.5% 23.2% 27.8%
Lukas Scott 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 10.0% 13.3% 17.1% 21.8% 14.0%
Julian Macrone 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 3.0% 3.5% 5.4% 5.9% 10.9% 20.8% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.