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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+7.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+6.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+2.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+4.70vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+1.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+1.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-2.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-2.46vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62-0.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.82-2.58vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.37-1.79vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-3.70vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-3.45vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-3.33vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.69-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.104.0%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.9%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University2.4512.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.154.4%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.068.2%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.126.6%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.9216.1%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College2.3811.8%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University1.626.3%1st Place
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7.42Brown University1.826.6%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College1.374.2%1st Place
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8.3Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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9.55Northeastern University1.243.4%1st Place
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10.67Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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11.07Washington College0.692.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| John Ped | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| William Bedford | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 20.4% |
| Alex Heim | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.