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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+4.54vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+6.40vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+2.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+2.16vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+1.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+1.76vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.15-0.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-2.20vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83-1.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-3.62vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.37-4.96vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.69-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Roger Williams University2.4511.8%1st Place
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8.4Boston University1.395.2%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College2.3811.8%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.9215.6%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.127.7%1st Place
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7.51Brown University1.826.7%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.0%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.067.7%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.154.5%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University1.625.6%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island2.105.1%1st Place
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10.7Salve Regina University0.832.5%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University1.244.5%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College1.375.2%1st Place
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11.04Washington College0.692.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| William Michels | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 19.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Alex Heim | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.