Race 4A

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marek Zaleski 43.3% 26.3% 16.8% 8.7% 3.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Bertocci 6.5% 8.3% 10.8% 12.8% 15.3% 14.2% 13.2% 8.4% 7.5% 2.4% 0.6%
Bennett Capozzi 15.2% 20.1% 19.1% 16.6% 12.9% 8.1% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Cali Warner 5.3% 5.9% 8.2% 11.8% 12.7% 15.7% 14.5% 13.3% 8.0% 3.7% 0.9%
Jackson Chabot 5.3% 5.1% 7.7% 10.1% 12.1% 12.2% 13.7% 14.6% 9.2% 8.6% 1.4%
Anoush Longerstaey 2.6% 4.0% 5.8% 6.9% 8.5% 11.4% 14.2% 14.7% 15.2% 11.6% 5.1%
Cameron Barclift 14.8% 21.3% 18.5% 15.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Tyler Durant 3.8% 4.0% 6.9% 9.2% 11.0% 13.2% 12.8% 13.3% 14.2% 9.1% 2.5%
Lukas Scott 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 5.4% 7.0% 8.6% 13.3% 17.9% 21.8% 15.7%
Shane Baker 0.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 8.1% 10.8% 14.9% 23.2% 25.9%
Julian Macrone 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 7.2% 10.7% 19.3% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.