Race 5A

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marek Zaleski 41.9% 27.3% 17.4% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cali Warner 6.1% 7.0% 9.2% 12.1% 12.2% 15.5% 13.5% 12.8% 7.2% 3.6% 0.8%
Bennett Capozzi 16.0% 18.8% 19.3% 16.4% 12.8% 7.9% 6.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Durant 3.1% 4.7% 4.7% 7.3% 9.4% 13.0% 13.3% 16.3% 14.3% 9.5% 4.4%
Shane Baker 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 5.1% 9.9% 6.5% 16.2% 25.3% 25.5%
Cameron Barclift 13.7% 17.6% 18.1% 16.6% 13.4% 7.3% 7.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jackson Chabot 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 10.2% 11.3% 14.6% 13.6% 13.9% 10.0% 5.7% 2.0%
Simon Bertocci 6.7% 8.1% 11.4% 14.4% 13.2% 14.8% 10.9% 11.0% 5.4% 3.5% 0.6%
Julian Macrone 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 5.4% 10.9% 19.1% 50.3%
Lukas Scott 1.6% 1.9% 4.0% 3.7% 6.2% 6.7% 9.6% 13.0% 17.1% 23.4% 12.8%
Anoush Longerstaey 3.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 12.0% 10.7% 12.1% 15.3% 16.4% 9.4% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.