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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+4.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+5.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+3.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+0.53vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+4.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+1.77vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.55vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82-1.56vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.49vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.24-1.37vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-3.44vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.37-3.87vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.69-2.72vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.62-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Roger Williams University2.4511.9%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.9216.6%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.104.5%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.126.8%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College2.3810.3%1st Place
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10.54Salve Regina University0.832.9%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.155.0%1st Place
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6.45Bowdoin College2.069.2%1st Place
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7.44Brown University1.826.5%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.4%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University1.243.2%1st Place
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8.56Boston University1.394.8%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College1.373.8%1st Place
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11.28Washington College0.692.5%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University1.626.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| William Michels | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 19.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| John Ped | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| William Bedford | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Alex Heim | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 29.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.