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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.83+7.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+4.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+3.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+1.33vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.62+1.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.15+0.59vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10-1.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.24-1.45vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-6.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.06-6.33vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.37-4.92vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.69-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Harvard University2.126.9%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.9216.8%1st Place
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10.62Salve Regina University0.832.7%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.8%1st Place
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8.42Boston University1.395.5%1st Place
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7.33Brown University1.827.0%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University1.625.7%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.155.1%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.105.1%1st Place
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9.55Northeastern University1.243.4%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University2.4511.6%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.068.2%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College1.373.5%1st Place
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11.18Washington College0.692.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 20.3% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Bedford | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Alex Heim | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.