Race 1B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Arabia 24.5% 21.4% 17.3% 15.2% 11.9% 6.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Bloxham 9.4% 10.6% 11.0% 13.1% 14.9% 16.7% 12.1% 7.7% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Simon Li 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 4.5% 6.4% 10.9% 19.0% 24.7% 21.3% 2.7%
Kate Shaner 19.8% 17.1% 19.5% 15.8% 12.2% 8.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ansel Duff 10.2% 12.8% 9.9% 12.4% 15.2% 13.5% 12.8% 9.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 17.4% 18.1% 17.4% 16.6% 10.5% 8.9% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 8.8% 9.0% 11.3% 10.4% 13.1% 16.5% 15.5% 8.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Andrew Stratton 4.7% 5.7% 6.8% 8.2% 11.4% 12.8% 18.1% 17.7% 10.1% 4.1% 0.4%
Mark Sinks 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 3.8% 5.9% 12.1% 20.2% 38.4% 11.5%
Kimberly Jackman 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.7% 6.2% 10.0% 17.6% 26.6% 23.9% 3.4%
Regan Yeung 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 5.1% 9.1% 81.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.