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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+4.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+3.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.62+4.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+3.61vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.24+4.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+2.41vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.71+3.75vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.42vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10-0.28vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39-1.62vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-4.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.47vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-5.82vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.69-3.03vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Dartmouth College2.3813.2%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University2.4512.1%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University1.626.2%1st Place
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7.61Brown University1.825.9%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University1.244.6%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.155.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College0.712.6%1st Place
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4.58Yale University2.9216.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island2.104.5%1st Place
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8.38Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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6.5Bowdoin College2.068.8%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.9%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.127.2%1st Place
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10.97Washington College0.692.6%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 20.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Alex Heim | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 22.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.