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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.52+1.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+2.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.59+1.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33-0.62vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.16-1.41vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86+0.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.33-1.95vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.71-1.24vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.01-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.26-3.91vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-2.65-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Boston University2.520.2%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.38Tufts University2.330.2%1st Place
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3.59Northeastern University2.160.2%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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8.76Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.78McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.62Bentley University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Arabia | 23.2% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansel Duff | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 19.4% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 19.5% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Sinks | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 38.8% | 9.0% |
| Simon Li | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 4.3% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 26.8% | 3.9% |
| Regan Yeung | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.