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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Arabia 23.2% 25.6% 16.2% 14.9% 10.1% 6.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Bloxham 9.7% 10.8% 11.4% 14.3% 14.0% 14.9% 11.4% 9.3% 3.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Ansel Duff 9.8% 9.0% 12.0% 12.2% 16.4% 14.2% 13.2% 9.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 19.4% 19.5% 17.8% 15.5% 11.8% 9.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 19.5% 15.6% 16.5% 17.1% 12.9% 8.1% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Stratton 4.1% 5.3% 7.8% 6.6% 10.6% 13.8% 19.2% 15.2% 12.0% 5.2% 0.2%
Samuel Campbell 9.1% 8.6% 11.3% 11.2% 14.5% 14.8% 13.9% 9.6% 5.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Mark Sinks 1.3% 0.7% 2.1% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 6.7% 14.2% 20.4% 38.8% 9.0%
Simon Li 2.0% 2.8% 2.2% 3.9% 4.3% 7.2% 11.2% 18.4% 26.2% 17.5% 4.3%
Kimberly Jackman 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 6.7% 11.3% 16.0% 23.4% 26.8% 3.9%
Regan Yeung 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 2.8% 3.4% 9.1% 82.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.