← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.45+4.32vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.12+5.23vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.06+3.58vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.39+4.60vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.82+2.49vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92-1.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10+1.90vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.83+2.66vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.24+0.48vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.38-4.43vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.37-1.93vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.15-3.25vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.62-4.99vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.36vs Predicted
-
15Washington College0.69-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32Roger Williams University2.4512.8%1st Place
-
7.23Harvard University2.127.3%1st Place
-
6.58Bowdoin College2.068.8%1st Place
-
8.6Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
-
7.49Brown University1.826.9%1st Place
-
4.55Yale University2.9216.9%1st Place
-
8.9University of Rhode Island2.104.0%1st Place
-
10.66Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
-
9.48Northeastern University1.243.8%1st Place
-
5.57Dartmouth College2.3812.7%1st Place
-
9.07Connecticut College1.374.0%1st Place
-
8.75Tufts University2.153.9%1st Place
-
8.01Fordham University1.625.0%1st Place
-
8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.3%1st Place
-
11.15Washington College0.692.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 20.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| William Michels | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Alex Heim | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.