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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+4.56vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+5.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.15+5.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+1.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+3.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+1.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10-0.13vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.37-0.81vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-2.88vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83-1.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-3.38vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.69-2.93vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.82-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Dartmouth College2.3810.9%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.126.2%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University2.155.4%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University2.4511.7%1st Place
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8.38Boston University1.395.3%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.9216.9%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.1%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.0610.4%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island2.104.0%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College1.373.9%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University1.625.7%1st Place
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10.53Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University1.243.1%1st Place
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11.07Washington College0.692.5%1st Place
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7.5Brown University1.827.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.9% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| William Bedford | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 19.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% |
| Alex Heim | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 25.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.