Race 3B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Bloxham 8.2% 9.9% 11.8% 13.0% 14.2% 17.4% 13.4% 7.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Ansel Duff 10.4% 9.8% 13.4% 12.9% 14.8% 14.6% 13.0% 6.9% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Peter Christensen 15.5% 18.0% 16.6% 15.9% 12.6% 10.9% 7.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Arabia 24.6% 20.6% 19.2% 13.3% 10.9% 6.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 22.4% 20.2% 15.9% 14.4% 11.9% 7.9% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Stratton 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 8.2% 10.4% 12.5% 19.0% 15.8% 12.3% 5.2% 0.3%
Simon Li 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 3.6% 5.4% 7.8% 10.5% 20.4% 23.6% 17.8% 2.0%
Samuel Campbell 8.7% 8.7% 10.5% 12.7% 13.1% 13.3% 14.8% 11.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.0%
Mark Sinks 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.9% 12.2% 19.3% 40.7% 11.1%
Kimberly Jackman 1.5% 2.7% 1.8% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 7.7% 18.4% 26.8% 24.4% 3.5%
Regan Yeung 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.9% 2.1% 4.6% 8.4% 82.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.