← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University1.55+7.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.77+4.55vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.95+4.07vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.94+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.65+2.70vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.45+2.67vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.03-0.11vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.08-1.59vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.69+0.38vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.31-0.93vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.25-2.04vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.94-5.29vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.75-5.64vs Predicted
-
14Washington College0.19-1.62vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.9Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
-
6.55University of Rhode Island1.779.6%1st Place
-
7.07Dartmouth College1.957.6%1st Place
-
6.72Roger Williams University1.949.3%1st Place
-
7.7Boston University1.656.5%1st Place
-
8.67Connecticut College1.454.5%1st Place
-
6.89Tufts University2.038.8%1st Place
-
6.41Bowdoin College2.089.6%1st Place
-
9.38Northeastern University1.694.2%1st Place
-
9.07Salve Regina University1.314.4%1st Place
-
8.96Brown University1.254.4%1st Place
-
6.71Fordham University1.949.3%1st Place
-
7.36Yale University1.757.7%1st Place
-
12.38Washington College0.191.8%1st Place
-
7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| William George | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 46.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.