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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.59+3.75vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.52+0.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.55+1.90vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.86+2.27vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+0.22vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.01+1.77vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16-3.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33-4.79vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.71-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.26-3.96vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-2.65-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Harvard University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.96Boston University2.520.3%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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5.22Boston University1.330.1%1st Place
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7.77McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University2.330.2%1st Place
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8.82Middlebury College-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.61Bentley University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansel Duff | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 26.0% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stratton | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Simon Li | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 4.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 19.3% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 22.1% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Sinks | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 38.6% | 11.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 27.2% | 24.0% | 3.6% |
| Regan Yeung | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 10.7% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.