Race 5B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Arabia 23.5% 23.3% 16.0% 17.9% 11.1% 5.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 17.4% 17.4% 18.2% 15.7% 12.4% 9.0% 6.9% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ansel Duff 9.6% 9.3% 11.3% 13.9% 14.6% 14.4% 14.0% 8.9% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Stratton 4.3% 4.3% 5.6% 8.2% 9.5% 13.7% 18.1% 19.4% 10.9% 5.4% 0.6%
Kate Shaner 22.0% 20.2% 16.6% 13.6% 11.6% 7.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Simon Li 1.4% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.6% 7.1% 11.9% 18.5% 24.1% 19.6% 4.0%
William Bloxham 10.7% 11.4% 13.1% 13.4% 13.0% 16.3% 11.7% 6.0% 3.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 8.6% 8.6% 11.4% 9.3% 16.0% 14.6% 14.1% 10.5% 6.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Regan Yeung 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 3.5% 9.4% 82.6%
Kimberly Jackman 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 7.1% 9.5% 15.8% 27.2% 24.5% 3.6%
Mark Sinks 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 5.4% 13.6% 20.2% 39.1% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.