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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.25+8.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+4.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+3.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+2.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+2.62vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+3.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.69+2.36vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.95-1.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.75-1.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.03-2.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-2.19vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-5.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.45-4.39vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.82vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.19-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Brown University1.254.5%1st Place
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6.69University of Rhode Island1.779.4%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University1.948.8%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College2.0810.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston University1.656.8%1st Place
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9.15Salve Regina University1.315.1%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University1.695.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College1.958.2%1st Place
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7.22Yale University1.756.8%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University2.037.1%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University1.554.3%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University1.949.6%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College1.455.5%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.5%1st Place
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12.48Washington College0.191.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.