Race 6B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Arabia 23.7% 22.6% 17.2% 15.7% 10.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kimberly Jackman 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 4.3% 5.9% 9.7% 17.4% 25.1% 25.7% 4.2%
Ansel Duff 9.7% 10.3% 10.1% 13.0% 15.2% 15.4% 13.7% 7.7% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 18.2% 19.5% 18.5% 15.7% 12.7% 8.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Stratton 4.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 10.1% 12.0% 18.7% 17.8% 10.6% 4.5% 0.2%
William Bloxham 9.8% 9.7% 11.7% 14.3% 13.2% 14.8% 13.3% 7.2% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Samuel Campbell 9.5% 8.1% 10.3% 12.3% 14.2% 15.0% 13.5% 11.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Peter Christensen 19.4% 18.6% 18.0% 13.4% 12.6% 9.6% 5.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Li 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 7.7% 11.2% 18.4% 24.9% 19.3% 3.5%
Regan Yeung 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 2.3% 3.6% 9.4% 82.6%
Mark Sinks 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 3.8% 6.9% 13.2% 20.4% 38.2% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.