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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+5.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+6.59vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.37+8.01vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.69+5.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.92vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.39+0.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84+0.67vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+3.29vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-2.32vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.62-1.16vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-0.64vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.65-3.54vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-4.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-9.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.38-5.27vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.56-6.95vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.10-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.390.1%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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12.29Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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11.36Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.46Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.0%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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16.73Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thompson | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Pete Hazelett | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| David Hernandez | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Evan Cooke | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hale | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Heussler | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 6.3% |
| John Stokes | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Emily Billing | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Ian Oviatt | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.