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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+5.83vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+4.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.55+5.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.03+3.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.75+2.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+0.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.13vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.94-1.21vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.25+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77-3.48vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.45-2.49vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-4.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.69-3.59vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.65vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.19-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Dartmouth College1.959.2%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College2.0810.2%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University1.555.2%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.038.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University1.757.8%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University1.949.0%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.4%1st Place
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6.79Fordham University1.948.5%1st Place
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9.2Brown University1.253.9%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island1.779.4%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College1.455.5%1st Place
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7.74Boston University1.657.5%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University1.693.4%1st Place
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9.35Salve Regina University1.313.6%1st Place
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12.33Washington College0.191.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| William George | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Micky Munns | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 12.7% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.