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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.77+5.77vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.69+7.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.94+3.84vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+3.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+2.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+0.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.55+1.87vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.45+0.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.03-1.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.82vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.75-3.66vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.94-5.52vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.25-3.86vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.60vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.19-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77University of Rhode Island1.779.1%1st Place
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9.37Northeastern University1.694.3%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University1.948.7%1st Place
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7.51Boston University1.656.5%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College1.957.8%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.0811.3%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University1.554.3%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College1.455.5%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.037.8%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University1.314.3%1st Place
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7.34Yale University1.757.8%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University1.949.7%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.254.4%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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12.33Washington College0.191.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Micky Munns | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| William George | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.