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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.65+6.76vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+6.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+4.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.77+2.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+1.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94-0.28vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.45+0.49vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.75-1.73vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.95-3.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.96vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.25-2.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.69-3.75vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.19-1.70vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.94-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Boston University1.655.9%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University1.555.3%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University2.038.7%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island1.779.2%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College2.089.4%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.6%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University1.949.7%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College1.455.4%1st Place
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7.27Yale University1.757.3%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College1.958.2%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University1.315.1%1st Place
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9.31Brown University1.254.0%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University1.694.5%1st Place
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12.3Washington College0.191.6%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.948.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| William George | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 44.7% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.