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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.08+5.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.94+4.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+4.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.75+2.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+0.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.45+1.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03-0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.95-2.06vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.25-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.77-4.34vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.55-3.15vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-3.90vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-4.68vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.19-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Bowdoin College2.0811.3%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University1.948.8%1st Place
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7.67Boston University1.656.6%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.8%1st Place
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7.18Yale University1.757.9%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University1.949.1%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College1.455.3%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University2.038.0%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College1.957.5%1st Place
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9.35Brown University1.253.4%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island1.779.3%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University1.554.8%1st Place
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9.1Salve Regina University1.314.8%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University1.694.0%1st Place
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12.44Washington College0.191.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| William George | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.