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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.03+5.94vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+4.50vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+4.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+5.19vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+2.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.75+0.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55+0.90vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.45-0.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.94-3.21vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.25-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77-5.40vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.94-6.30vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.19-1.58vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Tufts University2.038.6%1st Place
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6.5Bowdoin College2.089.4%1st Place
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7.61Boston University1.658.3%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University1.694.2%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College1.957.8%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University1.757.4%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University1.554.3%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College1.455.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University1.948.3%1st Place
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9.02Brown University1.255.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island1.779.5%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University1.949.3%1st Place
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12.42Washington College0.191.3%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University1.314.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| William George | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 47.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.