← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.08+5.30vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.55+6.87vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.69+6.14vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.22vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.45+3.55vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.94+0.72vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.03+0.07vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.65-0.35vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.31+0.22vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.95-2.94vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.94-4.26vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.75-4.79vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.25-3.78vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.77-7.36vs Predicted
-
15Washington College0.19-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.3Bowdoin College2.0810.5%1st Place
-
8.87Harvard University1.554.8%1st Place
-
9.14Northeastern University1.695.2%1st Place
-
7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.1%1st Place
-
8.55Connecticut College1.454.2%1st Place
-
6.72Fordham University1.948.8%1st Place
-
7.07Tufts University2.037.4%1st Place
-
7.65Boston University1.656.3%1st Place
-
9.22Salve Regina University1.314.8%1st Place
-
7.06Dartmouth College1.958.5%1st Place
-
6.74Roger Williams University1.949.2%1st Place
-
7.21Yale University1.757.4%1st Place
-
9.22Brown University1.253.8%1st Place
-
6.64University of Rhode Island1.779.7%1st Place
-
12.37Washington College0.191.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| William George | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.