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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+6.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.96vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+6.14vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.07+3.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+3.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+2.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.62vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.02-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.90-3.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-2.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.11vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.09-6.96vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.90-6.94vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.50-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22University of Miami2.329.0%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.0%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University1.894.9%1st Place
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6.8SUNY Maritime College2.519.4%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.1%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University2.075.3%1st Place
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10.26Fordham University1.574.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.3%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy2.257.9%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University1.816.3%1st Place
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9.09University of Wisconsin2.025.3%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania1.904.8%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.097.1%1st Place
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9.06Yale University1.906.4%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University1.502.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Priebe | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% |
| Edward Cook | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.