← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.02+7.95vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.38vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.88vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.03vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.89+4.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.32+1.46vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+3.28vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.09+0.07vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+0.12vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.50+0.66vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.90-2.96vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania1.90-3.93vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.57-3.79vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.81-5.88vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.07-6.83vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.58-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.95University of Wisconsin2.026.5%1st Place
-
7.38U. S. Naval Academy2.259.6%1st Place
-
6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.9%1st Place
-
7.03SUNY Maritime College2.519.2%1st Place
-
9.19George Washington University1.895.0%1st Place
-
7.46University of Miami2.328.2%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.7%1st Place
-
8.07Georgetown University2.096.6%1st Place
-
8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.2%1st Place
-
10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.8%1st Place
-
11.66Tufts University1.503.0%1st Place
-
9.04Yale University1.905.5%1st Place
-
9.07University of Pennsylvania1.905.1%1st Place
-
10.21Fordham University1.574.7%1st Place
-
9.12Old Dominion University1.814.6%1st Place
-
9.17Roger Williams University2.075.1%1st Place
-
10.81University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Edward Cook | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 19.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.