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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+8.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.50+8.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+5.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+5.65vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+3.32vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.11vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+1.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-3.56vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-3.75vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-3.75vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-3.54vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.89-6.02vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.90-6.90vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.90-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06University of Wisconsin2.025.9%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.258.0%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University1.502.6%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.075.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Maritime College2.519.5%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.6%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.2%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.9%1st Place
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7.44University of Miami2.328.2%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University2.097.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University1.573.5%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University1.895.9%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania1.905.9%1st Place
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9.03Yale University1.906.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Edward Cook | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.