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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.98vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+5.91vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+5.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+4.75vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+0.23vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.09+0.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.56vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.02-1.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.60vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-2.85vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.50-2.58vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-5.89vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.90-6.82vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.90-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.7%1st Place
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6.98SUNY Maritime College2.518.8%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University1.896.2%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.074.7%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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7.23University of Miami2.328.8%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University2.097.0%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.9%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy2.257.6%1st Place
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9.01University of Wisconsin2.026.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.7%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University1.502.7%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University1.816.6%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania1.904.9%1st Place
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9.24Yale University1.905.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Edward Cook | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 17.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.