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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+7.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+8.20vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.02+5.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+4.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.07+3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+0.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81+1.18vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+1.26vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.20vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.89-1.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.25-5.70vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.50-3.62vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.59-6.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Georgetown University2.096.8%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University1.574.1%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.6%1st Place
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9.2University of Wisconsin2.025.2%1st Place
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9.04Yale University1.905.2%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.075.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Miami2.329.2%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University1.815.6%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.8%1st Place
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6.8SUNY Maritime College2.5110.9%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.895.3%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.258.6%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University1.503.3%1st Place
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9.79University of Pennsylvania1.594.5%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.