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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+0.75vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73-0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.97-0.63vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.90-0.48vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.09-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06College of Charleston3.200.4%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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2.5Eckerd College2.730.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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4.52Jacksonville University0.900.0%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 38.9% | 29.9% | 19.8% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 20.8% | 23.0% | 25.6% | 22.2% | 7.9% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 25.2% | 25.8% | 27.0% | 17.7% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hernandez | 11.5% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 34.4% | 18.3% | 1.2% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 58.2% | 11.1% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.