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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.73vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.02+7.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.89+5.74vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+6.35vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.59+3.83vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.09+0.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.50+3.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07+0.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.42vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.90-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-1.57vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.51-6.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.25-6.64vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-5.69vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-5.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.2%1st Place
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9.1University of Wisconsin2.025.5%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University1.896.0%1st Place
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10.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.6%1st Place
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7.35University of Miami2.327.2%1st Place
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9.83University of Pennsylvania1.594.6%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.097.3%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University1.502.5%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.076.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.5%1st Place
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9.23Yale University1.905.3%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont1.583.8%1st Place
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6.91SUNY Maritime College2.519.9%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.257.8%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University1.816.0%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University1.574.7%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Edward Cook | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 18.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.