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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.97+0.34vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73-1.48vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.90-0.46vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.09-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06College of Charleston3.200.4%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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2.52Eckerd College2.730.2%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University0.900.0%1st Place
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5.8North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 39.2% | 29.5% | 19.7% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 20.0% | 24.5% | 25.5% | 21.3% | 8.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hernandez | 12.4% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 34.6% | 17.4% | 1.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 24.8% | 25.8% | 26.8% | 18.1% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 58.4% | 11.2% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 9.7% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.