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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.07+8.01vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.85vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+7.22vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.31vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.02+2.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.65vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.89-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.59-0.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-4.71vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.09-5.00vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.90-5.02vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.50-3.50vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-6.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.58-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Roger Williams University2.075.9%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.5%1st Place
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.9%1st Place
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7.02SUNY Maritime College2.519.3%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.259.3%1st Place
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10.11Fordham University1.573.6%1st Place
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9.22University of Wisconsin2.025.7%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.9%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University1.895.2%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania1.594.9%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.5%1st Place
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7.29University of Miami2.328.2%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.097.8%1st Place
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8.98Yale University1.905.1%1st Place
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11.5Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Edward Cook | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 19.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.