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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.61vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+5.47vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.59+6.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.27vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.88vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.89+3.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.50+4.47vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+2.13vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02+0.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+0.31vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.09-2.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.43vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-4.79vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.07-6.77vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.90-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Miami2.327.9%1st Place
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9.83University of Pennsylvania1.594.7%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.258.7%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Maritime College2.5110.1%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University1.894.9%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.502.6%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University1.574.8%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin2.026.2%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.003.9%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University2.097.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.5%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.814.8%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.9%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University2.075.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University1.906.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Priebe | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 17.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% |
| Edward Cook | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.