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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.58+8.89vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.39vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+6.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.59+3.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.90+1.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-2.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07-1.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.39vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.02-4.51vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.50-3.01vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-6.34vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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6.39SUNY Maritime College2.5110.2%1st Place
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9.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.6%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.8%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Pennsylvania1.594.2%1st Place
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8.59Yale University1.905.8%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy2.259.6%1st Place
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6.83University of Miami2.328.2%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University2.075.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.6%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University2.097.4%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin2.026.2%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University1.502.5%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University1.816.0%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.574.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% |
| Edward Cook | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.