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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.23vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75-0.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.60-1.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72-2.02vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.42-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.43-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.2%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.2%1st Place
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2.62Connecticut College2.750.3%1st Place
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2.85Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.98Brown University1.720.1%1st Place
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6.67Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 24.5% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christina Frost | 16.0% | 18.5% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 26.2% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 23.5% | 19.8% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Chafee | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 34.9% | 10.4% | 0.5% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 19.3% | 76.0% |
| Shannan Smith | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 61.3% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.