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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.14vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.58+6.84vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.64vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.09+2.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+0.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+0.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-0.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.50+0.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.25vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-3.36vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.02-4.52vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.29vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-5.45vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.59-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.8%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.584.4%1st Place
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6.64SUNY Maritime College2.519.9%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University2.098.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy2.258.9%1st Place
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7.09University of Miami2.327.6%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
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8.67Yale University1.905.3%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.502.9%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University1.816.2%1st Place
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8.48University of Wisconsin2.025.6%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University1.574.5%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.2%1st Place
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9.28University of Pennsylvania1.595.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Edward Cook | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.