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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.53vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+4.68vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.07+5.60vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+4.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.50+3.71vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.02+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.16vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-1.25vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58-1.00vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.90-3.34vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.09-5.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-5.90vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.21vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.9%1st Place
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6.68University of Miami2.328.9%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University2.076.2%1st Place
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6.43SUNY Maritime College2.519.7%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.5%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy2.2510.2%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University1.503.5%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin2.026.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Pennsylvania1.595.7%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University1.815.3%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont1.583.7%1st Place
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8.66Yale University1.905.6%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University2.096.8%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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9.79Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 17.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Edward Cook | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.