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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.33+0.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72-0.08vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75-2.40vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.42+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.43-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.2%1st Place
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2.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.2%1st Place
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3.09Brown University2.330.2%1st Place
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3.92Brown University1.720.1%1st Place
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2.6Connecticut College2.750.3%1st Place
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6.66Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Frost | 17.9% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 24.9% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jessica O'Dell | 18.1% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Chafee | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 35.4% | 10.0% | 0.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 28.0% | 25.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kellyn Maves | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 19.1% | 75.9% |
| Shannan Smith | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 60.8% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.