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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.07+7.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+8.69vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.09+4.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+4.66vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+4.79vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.59+1.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.02-1.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.28vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.40vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-4.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.25-7.15vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-8.57vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Roger Williams University2.075.8%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University1.502.7%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University2.098.3%1st Place
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8.66Yale University1.905.4%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.7%1st Place
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6.48SUNY Maritime College2.5110.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Miami2.329.2%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania1.595.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.8%1st Place
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8.65University of Wisconsin2.026.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.4%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy2.258.5%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.3% |
| Edward Cook | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.