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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington University1.30-0.24vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.20-0.96vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.85-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.58-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.32-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.70-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.58-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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3.34Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 52.1% | 28.2% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 13.5% | 20.1% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Joe Lund | 17.2% | 23.5% | 25.1% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Zampa | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| Alex Mayo | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 23.6% | 22.4% |
| Katy Carlyle | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 31.0% |
| Emily Slabe | 2.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.