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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+7.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.34+8.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+6.90vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.18vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62+4.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.39+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.37+3.47vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-2.74vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.56+0.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-2.52vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.84-2.32vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.64vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.69-5.13vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.25-0.69vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.65-6.59vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.29-6.10vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.10-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.0%1st Place
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6.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College4.390.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.68Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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14.31Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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9.41Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.9Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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16.59Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Ian Oviatt | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| David Thompson | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Evan Cooke | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pete Hazelett | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.1% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| John Stokes | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hale | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Colin Smith | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| David Hernandez | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 11.4% | 29.6% | 17.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Emily Billing | 4.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 14.0% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.