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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota0.20+1.00vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.30-1.20vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.02-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.58+0.86vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.85-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.32-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.70-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.58-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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1.8Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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3.31Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Lund | 17.9% | 25.3% | 24.1% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Prothero | 50.9% | 27.6% | 14.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 14.5% | 19.6% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Alex Mayo | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 24.8% |
| Matthew Zampa | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Katy Carlyle | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 29.7% |
| Emily Slabe | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.