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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+7.63vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.45vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+6.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+5.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+3.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.90+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.58+2.90vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+1.55vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.09-1.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-4.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.50-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.90-4.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-5.89vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.51-8.31vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63University of Wisconsin2.026.0%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.8%1st Place
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9.7Fordham University1.574.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.3%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.075.5%1st Place
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8.72Yale University1.904.8%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.9%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University2.098.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy2.258.6%1st Place
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6.87University of Miami2.328.9%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University1.503.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Pennsylvania1.905.9%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.6%1st Place
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6.69SUNY Maritime College2.519.8%1st Place
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8.77Old Dominion University1.816.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Edward Cook | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 19.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.