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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.20+2.06vs Predicted
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2Washington University1.30-0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.46+2.70vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.02-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.58-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.32-1.56vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.85-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.70-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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1.79Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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5.7University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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3.35Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.77Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Lund | 16.9% | 24.7% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mary Prothero | 51.4% | 28.0% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Roth | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 21.6% |
| David Mirkhaef | 14.1% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Slabe | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 24.9% |
| Katy Carlyle | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| Matthew Zampa | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 8.4% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.