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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.58+9.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+7.73vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.90+5.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+4.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.01vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.07+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32-0.06vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.51-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02-0.28vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-3.08vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.44vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.48vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-4.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-4.20vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.09-7.40vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.50-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05University of Vermont1.584.9%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.5%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania1.905.5%1st Place
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8.66Yale University1.906.2%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.9%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.075.5%1st Place
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6.94University of Miami2.329.4%1st Place
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6.49SUNY Maritime College2.519.7%1st Place
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8.72University of Wisconsin2.025.5%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.258.9%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.3%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University1.814.5%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.1%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University2.097.6%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.503.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% |
| Edward Cook | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.