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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+8.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+7.70vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.02+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32+2.00vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+3.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90+0.84vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+0.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.09-3.38vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.07-3.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.25-6.03vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.90-5.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.50-4.16vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.0%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.004.1%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.2%1st Place
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8.54University of Wisconsin2.025.6%1st Place
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7.0University of Miami2.327.7%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.575.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.0%1st Place
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8.84Yale University1.905.3%1st Place
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6.48SUNY Maritime College2.5110.5%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont1.584.3%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.096.3%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.075.3%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy2.259.2%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania1.905.9%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University1.503.0%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University1.815.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% |
| Edward Cook | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 20.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.