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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.30+0.74vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.20-1.03vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.85-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.58-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.89-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.70-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.46-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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3.27Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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4.62Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 52.9% | 28.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 13.6% | 20.5% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Joe Lund | 17.7% | 23.6% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Zampa | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Emily Slabe | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 22.8% | 19.1% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 33.1% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 21.2% | 27.0% |
| Andrew Roth | 2.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.