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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington University1.30-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.20+0.06vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.02-0.70vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.85-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.32-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.58-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.58-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.70-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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3.06University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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3.3Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 52.3% | 27.9% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 16.1% | 24.1% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| David Mirkhaef | 14.1% | 20.1% | 24.3% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Zampa | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 7.1% |
| Katy Carlyle | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 14.8% |
| Emily Slabe | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 25.8% |
| Alex Mayo | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 25.8% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 1.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.