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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.02+2.17vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.85+2.59vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.30-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.20-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.58-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.70-1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.89-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.58-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.59Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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1.75Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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2.99University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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5.74University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Mirkhaef | 14.8% | 22.8% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Zampa | 6.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Mary Prothero | 52.6% | 28.3% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 16.7% | 25.5% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Slabe | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 18.5% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 24.8% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 33.3% |
| Alex Mayo | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.