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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.20+2.04vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.30-1.19vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.02-0.70vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.85-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.70+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.58-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.46-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.32-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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1.81Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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3.3Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.78Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Lund | 16.8% | 25.2% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Mary Prothero | 50.7% | 27.3% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 14.5% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Zampa | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 28.3% |
| Emily Slabe | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Andrew Roth | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 23.0% |
| Katy Carlyle | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.