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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.30+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.58+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.46+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.20-1.90vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.02-2.67vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.70-0.96vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.85-3.21vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.32-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Washington University1.300.5%1st Place
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5.92University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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3.1University of Minnesota0.200.2%1st Place
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3.33Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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4.79Northwestern University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 52.4% | 28.2% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Slabe | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 23.7% | 24.6% |
| Andrew Roth | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 22.5% | 19.5% |
| Joe Lund | 15.9% | 22.5% | 25.4% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| David Mirkhaef | 13.8% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 29.8% |
| Matthew Zampa | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Katy Carlyle | 2.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.