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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.92+4.99vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.17+0.98vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.24-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.84-2.43vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.61-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.04-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.95-1.93vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.41-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.13-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.98Michigan Technological University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.69Northwestern University0.240.2%1st Place
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2.57University of Minnesota0.840.3%1st Place
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5.2Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Illinois-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.92Washington University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Michigan-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Posner | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 17.0% |
| Anna Wilhelm | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Margaret Parker | 18.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Eric Villadsen | 32.7% | 26.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Davis Carroll | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
| Molly Strieker | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| Glen Ko | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| Natalie Imamura | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Tyler Weiss | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.