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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Chicago-0.92+3.99vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.24+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84-1.35vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.17-1.30vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.61-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.13-0.67vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.41-3.02vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.04-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-0.95-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.85Northwestern University0.240.1%1st Place
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2.65University of Minnesota0.840.3%1st Place
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3.7Michigan Technological University0.170.2%1st Place
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5.22Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Michigan-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.98Washington University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Iowa-1.040.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Illinois-0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Posner | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 16.3% |
| Margaret Parker | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Eric Villadsen | 31.9% | 24.6% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Wilhelm | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Davis Carroll | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Tyler Weiss | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 22.8% |
| Natalie Imamura | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Molly Strieker | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 21.1% |
| Glen Ko | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.