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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.84+1.64vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.61+3.56vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.24+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-1.04+2.10vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.17-1.29vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.41-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.95-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.92-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.13-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Minnesota0.840.3%1st Place
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5.56Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.69Northwestern University0.240.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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3.71Michigan Technological University0.170.2%1st Place
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4.9Washington University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Illinois-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Michigan-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Villadsen | 29.8% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Davis Carroll | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 10.5% |
| Margaret Parker | 17.1% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Molly Strieker | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| Anna Wilhelm | 18.3% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Imamura | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Glen Ko | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 16.6% |
| Harry Posner | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| Tyler Weiss | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.