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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+8.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+7.69vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+6.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+4.13vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+3.51vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.37+4.51vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.39-0.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.25+6.23vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.72vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-3.64vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-5.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.34-2.57vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.65-4.95vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-9.77vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-6.20vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.29-6.09vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.10-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.0%1st Place
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9.69Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston College4.390.1%1st Place
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14.23Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.05Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.91Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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16.59Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Oviatt | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| David Hernandez | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Evan Cooke | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 28.8% | 18.9% |
| Thomas Hale | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| David Thompson | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Emily Billing | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 11.9% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.