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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota0.84+0.64vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.41+2.13vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.24-0.34vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.61+0.25vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.17-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.04-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.92-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.13-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-0.95-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Minnesota0.840.3%1st Place
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5.13Washington University-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University0.240.2%1st Place
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5.25Purdue University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.73Michigan Technological University0.170.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Michigan-1.130.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Illinois-0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Villadsen | 30.1% | 25.7% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Imamura | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Margaret Parker | 17.7% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Davis Carroll | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
| Anna Wilhelm | 17.6% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Molly Strieker | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| Harry Posner | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 15.6% |
| Tyler Weiss | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 25.7% |
| Glen Ko | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.